RESEARCH BASED ASSESSMENT OF INTEGRATED.pdf

Final Report -Report to the Water Research Commission In this project we test for seasonal predictability for Vaal Dam characteristics such as dam levels and downstream flows. We establish pragmatic and cost-effective ways that can also lead to real-time prediction and decision-making. In this project we use simplified statistical models to test for predictability and to establish real-time forecasting for the dam. The following are the aims of the project:
1. To develop statistical forecast systems for the Vaal Dam on seasonal time scales.
2. To test the models’ performances for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts.
3. To test operational forecasting capability using the developed models over various lead-times.